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    May 26, 2026

    Bullish

    AAL CC in the Danger Zone, IREN CSP Looks Juicy — This Week's Wheel Trades

    Key Lesson: What To Do When Your Covered Call Goes Deep ITM Near Expiration

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    Market Recap

    VIX is sitting at 17.01 — right in that sweet spot where premium is meaningful but the market isn't screaming fear. We're not at the panic levels that invite reckless selling, and we're not so compressed that there's nothing worth collecting. This is a healthy, workable environment for the wheel. Breadth confirms the mood: 64% of tracked stocks are above their 200-day SMA, which puts us firmly in risk-on territory. When more than half the market is trending above long-term support, the underlying conditions favor selling puts on strong names rather than chasing hedges. Sector ETFs are all flat on the week coming into the holiday, which isn't surprising — volume thins out around Memorial Day and traders tend to square up positions. SPY at $750.46, QQQ at $729.45, and IWM at $290.50 are all holding their levels without major distribution. XLE at $57.85 and XLV at $148.52 are the quieter corners of the market right now, while XLK at $185.20 continues to benefit from the AI and tech tailwind we've seen all year. Net-net: the tape is constructive, the VIX is cooperative, and the breadth gives us a green light to be selectively active this week.

    Key Lesson

    What To Do When Your Covered Call Goes Deep ITM Near Expiration

    The AAL trade this week is a perfect real-world example of a covered call getting steamrolled by an unexpected move higher — and it's one of the most emotionally charged situations in the wheel. The key principle is this: assignment at your strike is NOT a loss, it's the wheel working as designed — you sold the call, you collected premium, and you're selling shares at a price you agreed to. If you want to avoid assignment and continue holding the shares, rolling the call up and out to the next expiration for a net credit is a disciplined alternative, but only do it if you genuinely have conviction on continued upside — not just to avoid 'losing' shares you've grown emotionally attached to.

    Featured Trade Analysis

    $ALB

    This ALB $170 CSP at June 18 expiration is currently showing an unrealized loss of $189, which stings — but let's put it in context. I entered with IVR at 70%, collected $6.90 in premium, and the position still has 22 days of theta working for it. ALB is a volatile lithium name and this kind of mark-to-market drawdown is the cost of admission when you sell elevated IV on a beta-heavy commodity stock; the premium was priced for exactly this kind of move.

    High IVR entries give you a wider cushion to absorb drawdowns — don't panic-close a position just because it's red if the thesis (elevated IV, defined risk, time remaining) hasn't changed.

    $URA

    The URA $48 CSP expiring June 5 is a clean, short-cycle trade working beautifully — already up $35 with only 9 days to expiration and most of the theta decay captured. I entered with IVR at 54%, which isn't screaming-high, but uranium ETFs carry enough structural volatility to make the 30-day wheel viable. At this stage I'm watching it closely and will look to close at 80-90% max profit rather than ride it all the way to expiration.

    Short-dated CSPs on sector ETFs can deliver fast, clean results — take your 80-90% profit and recycle that capital into the next trade rather than holding through the final days of elevated assignment risk.

    $AAL

    This AAL covered call situation is the most complex position in the book right now and deserves a candid look. I'm holding 500 shares with an unrealized gain of +$1,176, but the covered call at the $12.50 strike expiring May 29 is showing a mark-to-market loss of $1,204 — meaning the stock has ripped through my call strike and the CC is deep in the money with just 2 days left. The net combined P&L is still approximately breakeven, but the real question now is whether I let the shares get called away at $12.50, which locks in the stock gain but ends the wheel cycle, or roll the call up and out to capture more upside if I still have conviction on AAL.

    When your covered call goes deep ITM near expiration, you face a critical decision point: accepting assignment at your strike is a valid, profitable outcome — don't treat it as a loss just because the stock kept running.

    $AA

    Closed the AA CSP for a clean +$107 gain — exactly the kind of methodical, low-drama trade the wheel is built on. AA has been showing solid momentum and I'm now looking at selling a covered call on any assigned shares or reloading a fresh CSP at a higher strike given the stock's continued strength. One win banked, capital freed up.

    Closing a winning CSP and immediately re-evaluating the next leg of the wheel keeps your capital working continuously and compounds your edge over time.

    $ASTS

    The ASTS CSP close for +$280 was one of the best trades of the month — I entered with IVR elevated on a speculative name, the stock cooperated, and theta did its job. ASTS is now showing up in the CC candidates list too at the $125 call strike, which tells me the stock has continued its monster run (up 56.7% over 30 days). This is what the wheel looks like when it works on a high-momentum name: collect premium on the way in, take the profit, and reassess the next leg.

    When a speculative high-IV name delivers a clean CSP win, take your profit and resist the urge to immediately re-enter a CSP — reassess whether the CC side of the wheel now makes more sense given the momentum shift.

    IV Environment

    With VIX at 17.01, we're in a moderate IV regime — not the elevated fear environment that delivers outsized premium, but comfortably above the low-teens compression we saw earlier in the bull run. Several individual names like IREN, ASTS, and MRVL are showing IVR readings of 70-80%, which means single-stock premium is punching well above the broad market baseline. There are no significant IV spike movers this week, so the focus should be on identifying names where structural or sector-specific IV is elevated rather than waiting for a macro catalyst to lift all boats.

    Top Cash-Secured Put Candidates

    TickerStrikeExpiryPremiumIV RankAnn ROCRationale
    $IREN$50Jun 26$2.657065%With IVR at 70%, an annROC of 64%, and strong price momentum (up 18% in 30 days and 35.8% in 90 days), IREN offers one of the richest premium setups on the board this week — just size conservatively given the beta of 4.18 and the prior earnings surprise of -283%.
    $NEM$105Jun 26$3.356539%NEM is a low-beta (0.45) gold miner with IVR at 65% offering $3.35 in premium at the $105 strike — a defensive, income-oriented CSP that suits traders who want gold exposure without the volatility of the broader market, though the recent -7.5% 30-day slide warrants watching support levels carefully.
    $CL$85Jul 2$1.777221%Colgate-Palmolive at the $85 strike into July offers a very low-beta (0.30) consumer staples CSP with IVR at 72% — the premium is modest at $1.77 and annROC of 21% won't set the world on fire, but it's a rock-solid underlying for traders prioritizing capital preservation over yield.
    $COPX$79Jul 2$2.137027%COPX, the copper miners ETF, is above both its 200 and 50-day SMAs with IVR at 70% and $2.13 in premium at the $79 strike — a solid way to get broad copper sector exposure at the CSP level without single-stock risk, though the -7.9% 90-day drift suggests the ETF is consolidating after a pullback.
    $MRNA$41Jul 2$1.495937%MRNA at the $41 strike into July offers a 37% annROC with IVR at 59%, but this one comes with a yellow flag — the stock is below its 50-day SMA with a -7.3% 30-day slide, so I'd treat this as a small-size speculative entry only for traders comfortable with biotech headline risk.

    Top Covered Call Candidates

    TickerStrikeExpiryPremiumIV RankAnn ROCRationale
    $ASTS$125Jun 26$10.4780102%If you're holding ASTS shares from a prior CSP assignment, the $125 call at June 26 expiry with IVR at 80% and a jaw-dropping 102% annROC is a compelling covered call — just know that with RSI at 74 and 30-day momentum of +56.7%, the stock can absolutely run through your strike, so size and strike selection need to reflect your comfort with capping that upside.
    $AA$85Jul 2$1.976428%AA's $85 covered call into early July with IVR at 64% and a 28% annROC is a measured, income-generating play on a stock that's up 13% over 30 days — a solid choice for shareholders looking to harvest premium at a strike that gives a bit more room to run before capping gains.
    $MRVL$255Jun 26$10.887552%MRVL has been an absolute rocket (up 157.4% over 90 days), and the $255 CC at June 26 with IVR at 75% and a 52% annROC lets existing shareholders collect a meaty $10.88 in premium — but with RSI at 75 and IV/HV at a massive 69.3%, this is a case where the options market is pricing in continued fireworks, so only sell this call if you're genuinely willing to part with shares at $255.

    Quick Tips This Week

    • →With the Memorial Day holiday shortening this week's trading, consider targeting shorter-dated expirations or waiting until Tuesday to enter new positions — thinner holiday volume can distort fills and widen bid-ask spreads on less liquid names.
    • →In a VIX-17 environment with 64% breadth, the wheel works best when you stay selective: focus on names where IVR is 60% or higher to ensure you're being paid adequately for the risk you're taking, and avoid chasing marginal premium on low-IV underlyings.
    • →The earnings calendar is loaded this week with ZS, CRM, SNOW, MRVL, DELL, and COST all reporting — double-check your open positions and any new trades you're considering against the earnings dates before pulling the trigger, since an unexpected earnings event inside your expiration window can completely redefine your risk.

    Every week the market gives you a new set of conditions to work with — your edge isn't in predicting what happens next, it's in staying process-driven, sizing appropriately, and letting time do the heavy lifting.

    Trade logically,

    James Henson

    Founder, Option Wheel Logic

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    Disclaimer: This newsletter is AI-assisted market commentary for informational and educational purposes only. It is not financial advice, a solicitation, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Option Wheel Logic is not a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, or licensed financial professional.

    Options trading involves significant risk, including the potential loss of the entire amount invested. Strategies such as cash-secured puts and covered calls may result in assignment of shares or missed upside. Past performance of any strategy or ticker mentioned is not indicative of future results. All data, strikes, premiums, and IV figures are sourced from third-party providers and may be delayed or inaccurate – always verify with your broker before placing any trade.

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